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Resolved Paul on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Paul at 73.5%. The Walton side opened at 12.5% on 19 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 26.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the low 12.5% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 26.5% on 20 Feb 2026. $90.15K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Walton price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Walton price |
|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2026 | 12.5% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Walton | 8.17K |
| Arbga2026 | Walton | 3.77K |
| Closed-Comfort | Walton | 2.83K |
| bettercallsup | Walton | 1.12K |
| Fastish2 | Walton | 939.44 |
| Garrythesnail | Walton | 772.95 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Walton | 454.42 |
| kamarat | Walton | 350 |
| LukeAlpha | Walton | 300 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Walton | 248 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Adam Walton and Tommy Paul in the Delray Beach Open, scheduled for February 19 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-walton-paul-2026-02-19
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