Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 52% on 22 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 52% on 22 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 33% on 23 Nov 2024. $74.21K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 Nov 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2024 | 52.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Tide 415E | Yes | 277.78 |
| Dafeeee | Yes | 90.48 |
| Nonvalid | Yes | 52.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a second confirmed case of Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 in the territory of the United States of America is reported between November 20 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g. the CDC), however sources from NGOs like the WHO, or information from other reputable medical institutions may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-monkeypox-case-in-us-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 22 |
| Robin2706 | Yes | 12.2 |
| szymonowiczos | Yes | 5 |
| Anthala | Yes | 4.56 |
| LoloTan | Yes | 3.33 |
| Comma1948 | Yes | 2.78 |
| klapcer | Yes | 2.17 |
