Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 44% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 30.5% on 22 Aug 2026. $13.6K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 44.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Maven 010F | Yes | 1K |
| Huye168 | Yes | 666 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 105.01 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu | Yes | 100 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 56.46 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| Quiet Summit D634 | Yes | 33.33 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.92 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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