Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.3%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 4 Jun 2026, the highest close was 98.3% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 10% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 87 points up, to 98.3% on 4 Jun 2026. $48.5K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 5:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 1 May 2026 – 4 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 23.5% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | 98.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 2.68K |
| Which-Astrology | No | 954.55 |
| simpsonsprediction | No | 745.65 |
| Sun69 | No | 555.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-june-30
| nobtc | No | 469.73 |
| Naive-Vein | No | 300 |
| kandinsky | No | 250 |
| aiioi | No | 228.08 |
| PU789 | No | 146.17 |
| niglette | No | 142.86 |
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