Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.7%. Yes opened at 5.3% on 21 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 5.3% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 23 Aug 2026. $28.32K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 5.3% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 4.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| jackylove | Yes | 50 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 44.62 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-byptptpt
| PPMT | Yes | 35 |
| Geromi | Yes | 33.9 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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