
Trading ended on 1 Oct 2026 with Yes at 1.8%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 84% on 30 Jul 2026 and the low 0.9% on 2 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 9%; a month ago, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 77% on 27 Jul 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?”.
$30.14K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is theta-thunberg with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is wendydream with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 71.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 11:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 75 points · 25 Jul 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 1.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wendydream | No | 2.33K |
| theta-thunberg | Yes | 1.15K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 746 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-123
| mathrex |
| No |
| 700.01 |
| 2Sherlock | No | 420.84 |
| enrico-vasaio | Yes | 375.69 |
| Simon4s | Yes | 310 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 284.49 |
| beata-monalisa | Yes | 271.89 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 175.46 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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