Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 1 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 16.5% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 8.5% on 2 Jul 2025. $41.01K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immaterial-Message | Yes | 651.77 |
| andarian | Yes | 525.9 |
| Kryo1 | Yes | 328.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdul-Malik Badr al-Din al-Houthi ceases to be Leader of the Houthi's for any length of time between June 30, 2025, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Al-Houthi ceases to be Supreme Leader of the Houthi's for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Al-Houthi has remained Leader for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the Houthi's, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abed-al-malik-al-houthi-out-as-leader-of-the-houthi-government-by-august
| Yes |
| 306.65 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 283 |
| Rich7777 | Yes | 108.4 |
| Eladka | Yes | 100 |
| SimonGab | Yes | 66.67 |
| klypt13a | Yes | 53.6 |
| Yshafner | Yes | 51.92 |
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