Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | sell | 499.98 | $0.660 | $329.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.690 |
| $48.3 |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 220.18 | $0.070 | $15.41 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.090 | $28.8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?Yes | sell | 19.39 | $0.048 | $0.94 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.195 | $1.95 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.122 | $61.1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | sell | 933.63 | $0.646 | $602.7 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | sell | 2.87K | $0.730 | $2.09K | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.678 | $1.94K | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?No | buy | 125.85 | $0.380 | $47.82 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.660 | $1.13K | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?No | buy | 264.18 | $0.950 | $250.97 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 282 | $0.710 | $200.22 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.960 | $1.56K | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 112.19 | $0.450 | $50.49 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?No | buy | 456.14 | $0.910 | $415.09 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.770 | $1.4K | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 74.06 | $0.700 | $51.84 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?No | sell | 1.38K | $0.976 | $1.35K | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Yes | buy | 339.81 | $0.988 | $335.73 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 221.49 | $0.070 | $15.5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?Yes | sell | 445.64 | $0.713 | $317.55 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Qatar today?Yes | buy | 325.41 | $0.858 | $279.1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 926.24 | $0.100 | $92.62 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.027 | $27.64 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.909 | $10.91 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.746 | $40.29 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Karen Read guilty in officer's death?No | buy | 44.88 | $0.890 | $39.94 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Karen Read guilty in officer's death?No | buy | 111.39 | $0.822 | $91.53 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.903 | $1.03K | May 13, 2025 |
 Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.987 | $20.73 | May 12, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?Yes | sell | 280.89 | $0.468 | $131.43 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.09 | $0.660 | $15.9 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | sell | 249.1 | $0.639 | $159.17 | May 11, 2025 |
 India-Pakistan declare war before June?No | sell | 594.99 | $0.963 | $572.75 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.190 | $19.02 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.120 | $18 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.280 | $46.2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Obama divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 398.34 | $0.100 | $39.83 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.01 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?No | sell | 140.99 | $0.550 | $77.57 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.230 | $25.3 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.41 | $0.210 | $32.22 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.150 | $33.3 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.300 | $6.9 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will America be profitable any month in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.976 | $1.56K | Apr 7, 2025 |