
Resolved No on 2 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 42% on 14 Jul 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 10% on 19 Jul 2025. $46.66K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 3, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 2 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 41.5% |
| 2 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nevevrjeoke | Yes | 535.73 |
| Junelim | Yes | 400 |
| shsyw2 | Yes | 220 |
| Novel-Common | Yes | 199.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On July 7, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 25% reciprocal tariff to all imports from South Korea beginning This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 25% tariff on imports into the United States from South Korea goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% tariff on imports into the United States from South Korea goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting South Korea will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/25-south-korea-tariff-in-effect-by-august-1
| lissartter | Yes | 199.14 |
| Viethoa | Yes | 160 |
| KoreaConservative | Yes | 129.46 |
| moongatandAk | Yes | 71.22 |
| Whopping-Tweet | Yes | 70 |
| lunkman | Yes | 17.59 |
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