Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51%. Yes opened at 41% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 14 Mar 2026, the highest close was 49% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 45% on 13 Mar 2026. $398.65 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 6:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 41.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 72 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that is officially determined as the winner of the 2026 Mountain West conference championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Mountain West conference championship per the rules of the Mountain West (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a conference champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cbb-mountain-west-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
