Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 48% on 13 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.2% on 3 Sep 2025 and the low 40.5% on 14 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 61.5% on 18 Aug 2025. $57.49K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 4, 4:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 13 Aug 2025 – 3 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2025 | 48.0% |
| 3 Sep 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KimbalMusk | No | 23.11K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 924.45 |
| Multicolored-Waterfall | No | 719.99 |
| GayPride | No | 250 |
| scarydairyraspberry | No | 86 |
| lissartter | No | 61.83 |
| Peepepe | No | 46.54 |
| Mongodask | No | 40 |
| lucjj | No | 32.26 |
| TuckFard | No | 31.56 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been 1,425 or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025 according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1425-measles-cases-in-us-by-september-30
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