Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.840 | $110.52 | Mar 2, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 348.49 |
| $0.964 |
| $335.94 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 237.88 | $0.983 | $233.91 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.810 | $109.46 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 126.75 | $0.750 | $95.06 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 126.75 | $0.789 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 237.88 | $0.937 | $223 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.740 | $100 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 248.45 | $0.900 | $223.61 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.840 | $101.2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 126.58 | $0.860 | $108.86 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.500 | $96.15 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 102.56 | $0.188 | $19.24 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 102.56 | $0.195 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 114.03 | $0.900 | $102.63 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 296.2 | $0.697 | $206.38 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 114.04 | $0.877 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 152.79 | $0.654 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 143.42 | $0.697 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 603.31 | $0.943 | $568.9 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 603.32 | $0.829 | $500 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 709.57 | $0.999 | $708.86 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 709.57 | $0.940 | $667 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 201.44 | $0.999 | $201.24 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 466.77 | $0.999 | $466.3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 201.45 | $0.715 | $144 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 466.77 | $0.945 | $441 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.04 | $0.529 | $110 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 252.68 | $0.995 | $251.42 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?No | sell | 321.87 | $0.026 | $8.24 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.950 | $0.95 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?No | buy | 134.67 | $0.743 | $100 | May 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 143.52 | $0.810 | $116.25 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?No | buy | 187.21 | $0.609 | $114 | May 28, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 135 | $0.847 | $114.4 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 252.69 | $0.930 | $235 | May 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 234.93 | $0.999 | $234.7 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 234.93 | $0.979 | $230 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | May 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 334.78 | $0.984 | $329.42 | May 3, 2025 |