Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 82.4 | $0.050 | $4.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 179.51 |
| $0.380 |
| $68.21 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 153.73 | $0.877 | $134.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.74 | $0.922 | $141.76 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 187 | $0.870 | $162.69 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.049 | $5.05 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 313.2 | $0.100 | $31.32 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.29 | $0.850 | $141.35 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 168.54 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 532.81 | $0.508 | $270.85 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.83 | $0.480 | $11.92 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 81.46 | $0.080 | $6.52 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.02 | $0.470 | $54.53 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.013 | $16.65 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 28.55 | $0.221 | $6.31 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 28.7 | $0.220 | $6.31 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 132.75 | $0.234 | $31.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 126.69 | $0.240 | $30.41 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.61 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 54.55 | $0.099 | $5.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.001 | $1.46 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Yemen next?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.008 | $4.88 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?Yes | sell | 175.62 | $0.029 | $5.09 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?Yes | sell | 159.07 | $0.030 | $4.77 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 60.29 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 68.33 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.28K | $0.016 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.012 | $6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.014 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.013 | $1.17 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Mexico next?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.010 | $6 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.019 | $25 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 172.47 | $0.810 | $139.7 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 121.11 | $0.017 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.019 | $1.88 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 65.6 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 107.78 | $0.013 | $1.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 61.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 126.96 | $0.017 | $2.16 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 179.81 | $0.910 | $163.63 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?Yes | buy | 455.91 | $0.022 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |