Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.37 | $0.610 | $0.32 | +$0.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.079 | $6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 37 |
| $0.300 |
| $11.1 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.290 | $10.73 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.070 | $4.9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.070 | $4.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.160 | $8.64 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.220 | $11.88 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.940 | $39.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.930 | $39.06 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.945 | $18.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.440 | $6.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.140 | $1.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.037 | $0.89 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.014 | $1.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.015 | $0.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3 | $0.937 | $2.81 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 41 | $0.910 | $37.31 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.910 | $37.31 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.360 | $13.32 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.220 | $3.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.270 | $9.99 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.966 | $36.71 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.939 | $35.68 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.450 | $38.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.470 | $40.42 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.016 | $0.59 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.027 | $1.67 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.987 | $40.47 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.260 | $13.26 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.270 | $11.61 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 61 | $0.610 | $37.21 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.186 | $4.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.968 | $40.66 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.986 | $40.43 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.790 | $36.34 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.310 | $26.04 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.420 | $30.24 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.918 | $32.13 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.780 | $28.08 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.947 | $36.93 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.957 | $37.32 | May 27, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.460 | $28.98 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.530 | $20.14 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.073 | $1.02 | May 14, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.017 | $1.02 | May 13, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 487.94 | $0.016 | $7.81 | May 13, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 256 | $0.957 | $244.99 | May 12, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 56.95 | $0.014 | $0.8 | May 11, 2026 |