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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.031 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.390 | $1.56 | May 27, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 28 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.96 |
| May 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.070 | $1.96 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.490 | $1.96 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.400 | $36.8 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.390 | $35.88 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.986 | $45.36 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.986 | $45.36 | May 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.370 | $7.77 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.530 | $37.63 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.860 | $37.84 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.850 | $37.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.031 | $0.25 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.031 | $1.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 0.84 | $0.997 | $0.84 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.905 | $0.91 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 19 | $0.935 | $17.77 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.958 | $1.77 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.986 | $1.68 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 17 | $0.975 | $16.58 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 17 | $0.977 | $16.61 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 17 | $0.988 | $16.8 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 17 | $0.979 | $16.64 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the Serie A?No | buy | 18 | $0.993 | $17.87 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No | sell | 3 | $0.987 | $2.96 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Jay-Z settle with his accuser before April?No | sell | 18 | $0.998 | $17.96 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No | sell | 17 | $0.940 | $15.98 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.020 | $1.12 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 6 | $0.983 | $5.9 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 16 | $0.978 | $15.65 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?No | sell | 16 | $0.996 | $15.94 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 21-28?No | buy | 16 | $0.978 | $15.65 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.016 | $0.94 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 17 | $0.993 | $16.88 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?No | sell | 17 | $0.989 | $16.81 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government?No | buy | 17 | $0.992 | $16.86 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on March 18?No | buy | 17 | $0.991 | $16.85 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Duterte released from custody by Friday?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Duterte released from custody by Friday?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Duterte released from custody by Friday?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.002 | $0.03 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 16 | $0.966 | $15.46 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Duterte released from custody by Friday?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.007 | $1.03 | Mar 12, 2025 |