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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 35.18 | $0.995 | $35 | May 29, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 603.02 |
| $0.995 |
| $600 |
| May 29, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.973 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 509.68 | $0.981 | $500 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 137.02 | $0.920 | $126.06 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No | buy | 25.91 | $0.995 | $25.78 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.31 | $0.966 | $47.63 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Prince Andrew released by February 21?Yes | buy | 508.79 | $0.999 | $508.28 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 332.31 | $0.992 | $329.65 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 295.1 | $0.998 | $294.51 | Feb 12, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 606.18 | $0.999 | $605.57 | Feb 9, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 20.5 | $0.998 | $20.46 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 585.08 | $0.993 | $580.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No | sell | 581.56 | $0.999 | $580.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No | buy | 20.46 | $0.997 | $20.4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.680 | $20.39 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.995 | $231.4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?No | buy | 349 | $0.994 | $346.91 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?No | buy | 578.31 | $0.999 | $577.73 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.770 | $9.39 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | sell | 2.86 | $0.133 | $0.38 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will the US strike Syria next?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.349 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 31.03 | $0.580 | $18 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.03 | $0.580 | $18 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 305.53 | $0.994 | $303.7 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 11?Yes | buy | 303.69 | $0.999 | $303.39 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No | buy | 15 | $0.998 | $14.97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 10?Yes | buy | 296.03 | $0.998 | $295.44 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 319.05 | $0.996 | $317.77 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 319.05 | $0.994 | $317.14 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.900 | $40 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?Yes | buy | 580.44 | $0.999 | $579.86 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?No | buy | 423.35 | $0.999 | $422.93 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in November?No | buy | 96.46 | $0.999 | $96.36 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 28?Yes | buy | 96.36 | $0.999 | $96.26 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.170 | $0.95 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.16 | $0.999 | $35.12 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on November 4?No | buy | 100.11 | $0.999 | $100.01 | Nov 4, 2025 |