Latest trade
Feb 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:49 PM UTC.
Analytics
DefinitelyMaybeNot is down $319.11 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 9 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:49 PM UTC.
$34.23 median trade
Its latest 31 trades covered 16 markets; 64.5% were buys. They run from Jan 7, 2026 UTC to Feb 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 177.95 | $0.190 | $33.81 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-07 07:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
31 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 16:49 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-07 07:26 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $97.21 and losing ones cost $61.59 across 9 settled positions. 44.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $36.36 on “US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $33.05 on “US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Feb 2026. It has traded 16 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 210.52 |
| $0.033 |
| $6.95 |
| Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 570.5 | $0.047 | $26.86 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.190 | $40 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 570.5 | $0.060 | $34.23 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 82.48 | $0.900 | $74.23 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 82.49 | $0.760 | $62.69 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 103.35 | $0.260 | $26.87 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.150 | $23.08 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.008 | $12.75 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 103.36 | $0.390 | $40.31 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 975.61 | $0.041 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | sell | 113.19 | $0.012 | $1.36 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 113.19 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | sell | 338.86 | $0.030 | $10.17 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 338.86 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.013 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 377.36 | $0.053 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.260 | $40 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | sell | 151.51 | $0.900 | $136.36 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | sell | 103.44 | $0.850 | $87.92 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 72.26 | $0.796 | $57.5 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 72.26 | $0.500 | $36.13 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.580 | $60 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 992.23 | $0.034 | $34 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.027 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.027 | $49 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.