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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 177.95 | $0.190 | $33.81 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 210.52 |
| $0.033 |
| $6.95 |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 570.5 | $0.047 | $26.86 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.190 | $40 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 570.5 | $0.060 | $34.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 82.48 | $0.900 | $74.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 82.49 | $0.760 | $62.69 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 103.35 | $0.260 | $26.87 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.150 | $23.08 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.008 | $12.75 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 103.36 | $0.390 | $40.31 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 975.61 | $0.041 | $40 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | sell | 113.19 | $0.012 | $1.36 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 113.19 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | sell | 338.86 | $0.030 | $10.17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 338.86 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.55K | $0.013 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 377.36 | $0.053 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.260 | $40 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | sell | 151.51 | $0.900 | $136.36 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | sell | 103.44 | $0.850 | $87.92 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | sell | 72.26 | $0.796 | $57.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 72.26 | $0.500 | $36.13 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.580 | $60 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 992.23 | $0.034 | $34 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.027 | $40 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.027 | $49 | Jan 7, 2026 |