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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?No | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | 21d ago |
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| buy |
| 17.44 |
| $0.860 |
| $15 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No | buy | 31.41 | $0.955 | $30 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 79.02 | $0.185 | $14.62 | May 12, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 79.03 | $0.190 | $15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No | buy | 17.29 | $0.540 | $9.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.430 | $7.16 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?No | buy | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 32.46 | $0.995 | $32.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.46 | $0.955 | $31 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 45.51 | $0.879 | $40 | Sep 25, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20.47 | $0.976 | $19.98 | Jun 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Jun 9, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.830 | $25 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.790 | $24.69 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 31.12 | $0.964 | $30 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 109.99 | $0.973 | $107.02 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?Yes | buy | 29.23 | $0.992 | $29 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 30.46 | $0.985 | $30 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.987 | $29.61 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 21.68 | $0.820 | $17.78 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.69 | $0.830 | $18 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 50.2 | $0.994 | $49.9 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 50.21 | $0.996 | $50 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 33.63 | $0.540 | $18.16 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33.64 | $0.550 | $18.5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 17.04 | $0.870 | $14.82 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | sell | 145.98 | $0.136 | $19.85 | Oct 29, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 145.99 | $0.137 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.830 | $19.52 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 46.87 | $0.310 | $14.53 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.900 | $14.67 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 85.91 | $0.580 | $49.83 | Oct 29, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 85.91 | $0.582 | $50 | Oct 29, 2024 |