
Resolved Yes on 11 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 80.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 11 Mar 2025, the highest close was 100% on 7 Mar 2025 and the lowest 80.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 87.6% on 8 Jan 2025. $1.2M traded over the market's life.
291 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 1:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 11 Mar 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 80.5% |
| 11 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 17.24K |
| BabyYoda12 | No | 5.23K |
| Big-Mortise | No | 4.01K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lori Chavez-DeRemer is confirmed as Labor Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Chavez-DeRemer's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
| No |
| 2.65K |
| GlockTuah | No | 1.8K |
| Jubjub | No | 692.63 |
| purin | Yes | 309.6 |
| kvtemNcwnN | No | 169.66 |
| jm855 | Yes | 147.26 |
| opeslibertatem | Yes | 142 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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