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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 1 | $0.860 | $0.99 | +$0.14 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | 15d ago |
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| Yes |
| 0.84 |
| $0.840 |
| $0.69 |
| -$0.01 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 0.74 | $0.700 | $0.55 | +$0.03 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | No | 0.92 | $0.514 | $0.44 | -$0.04 |
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? | No | 0.84 | $0.480 | $0.44 | +$0.03 |
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 0.33 | $0.400 | $0.28 | +$0.15 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.630 | $0.27 | -$0.1 |
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | No | 0.2 | $0.790 | $0.15 | -$0 |
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.660 | $0.13 | +$0.04 |
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.550 | $0.08 | -$0.03 |
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | Yes | 0.75 | $0.570 | $0.07 | -$0.36 |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? | Yes | 0.24 | $0.266 | $0.07 | +$0.01 |
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | 0.3 | $0.280 | $0.03 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 9 |
| $0.440 |
| $3.96 |
| 15d ago |
Over $4M committed to the Multipli public sale?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 15d ago |
Will Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 15 | $0.003 | $0.05 | 15d ago |
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.930 | $17.67 | 15d ago |
Will Rui Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.072 | $1.44 | 15d ago |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.555 | $11.1 | 15d ago |
Will Rui Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.895 | $17.9 | 15d ago |
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 15d ago |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.156 | $3.12 | 15d ago |
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 15d ago |
Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 15d ago |
Over $4M committed to the Multipli public sale?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 15d ago |
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | 15d ago |
Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | 15d ago |
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No | sell | 1 | $0.780 | $0.78 | 15d ago |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.240 | $0.72 | 15d ago |
Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Mexico by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | 15d ago |
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.021 | $0.15 | 15d ago |
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | 15d ago |
Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.012 | $0.13 | 15d ago |
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.760 | $12.16 | 15d ago |
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.106 | $1.7 | 15d ago |
Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?No | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 15d ago |
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?No | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 15d ago |
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | 15d ago |
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?Over | sell | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 15d ago |
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 20 | $0.051 | $1.02 | 15d ago |
Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?No | sell | 20 | $0.787 | $15.75 | 15d ago |
Will Docusign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 4.52 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 15d ago |
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | 15d ago |
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?No | sell | 30 | $0.010 | $0.31 | 15d ago |
Will Trump say "Hunter" this week?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | 15d ago |
Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?No | sell | 13 | $0.072 | $0.93 | 18d ago |
Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?No | sell | 17 | $0.114 | $1.93 | 18d ago |
GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.147 | $2.06 | 19d ago |
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 19d ago |
Next Kimi K model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 19d ago |
GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 19d ago |
Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 20d ago |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.020 | $0.24 | 21d ago |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.160 | $2.4 | 21d ago |
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 21d ago |
Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 125k and 145k?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 21d ago |
Will Friday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.010 | $0.13 | 22d ago |
Over $6M committed to the Multipli public sale?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 22d ago |
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 22d ago |
Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.168 | $3.36 | 22d ago |
Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.940 | $0.94 | 23d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.740 | $0.74 | 23d ago |