Latest trade
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ancient-Degradation has made $147.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 8:12 PM UTC.
$25 median trade
Its latest 47 trades covered 21 markets; 55.3% were buys. They run from Jan 23, 2026 UTC to Jul 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.96 | $0.141 | $10.15 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 20:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
47 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 20:12 UTC
polymarket positions
22 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $230.59 and losing ones cost $48.37 across 20 settled positions. 55% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $67.05 on “Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)” (No); the largest loss, $13.15 on “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jul 2026. It has traded 21 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 71.96 |
| $0.278 |
| $20 |
| Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.042 | $16.84 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.710 | $9.1 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 47.18 | $0.106 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 490.94 | $0.020 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 167.33 | $0.120 | $20 | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 285.71 | $0.290 | $82.86 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | sell | 46.52 | $0.627 | $29.16 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)No | sell | 106.16 | $0.820 | $87.05 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | sell | 80 | $0.635 | $50.81 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.004 | $0.09 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 98.04 | $0.780 | $76.47 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 25.5 | $0.560 | $14.28 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | sell | 80 | $0.460 | $36.8 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.510 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 87.71 | $0.746 | $65.41 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)No | buy | 106.16 | $0.188 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.392 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | buy | 126.52 | $0.237 | $30 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.290 | $24.17 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.180 | $9.47 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 262.96 | $0.220 | $57.85 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 224.04 | $0.430 | $96.34 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?Human | sell | 88.48 | $0.232 | $20.55 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?Human | buy | 88.49 | $0.339 | $30 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | sell | 28.16 | $0.990 | $27.88 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 224.05 | $0.446 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?AI | sell | 70.83 | $0.540 | $38.26 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | buy | 72.65 | $0.661 | $48 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?AI | buy | 70.83 | $0.480 | $34 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 77.78 | $0.270 | $21 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.