Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 12:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
Bright Falcon 8C1F has made $2.1 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 12:19 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 28, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 4h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 06:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 12:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 12:19 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 06:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $44.37 and losing ones cost $55.08 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.54 on “Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 21 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.36 on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 99 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.46 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.54 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.02 |
| +$0.02 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.96 | -$0.04 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.72 | -$0.28 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | No | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 1.54 |
| $0.650 |
| $1 |
| 12h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 22h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 6d ago |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 7d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?Down | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 7d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?Down | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 7d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?Down | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on October 14?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.4B?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 14d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 14d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 15d ago |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 15d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?Down | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | 21d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1?Up | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 22d ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?Down | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of September 28 2026?No | buy | 4.18 | $0.239 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 25d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.