Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:53 PM UTC.
Analytics
LightningBolt16 has made $28.89 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:53 PM UTC.
$4.03 median trade
Its latest 11 trades covered 9 markets; 81.8% were buys. They run from Oct 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.390 | $8.33 | -$1.67 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | 7d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 06:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 15:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
11 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:53 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 06:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest win was $27.22 on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 9 markets. Its open positions are worth $9.63 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 17.24 |
| $0.290 |
| $1.29 |
| -$3.71 |
| sell |
| 11.11 |
| $0.363 |
| $4.03 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 245.64 | $0.119 | $29.3 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 245.64 | $0.004 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.51 | $0.022 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 16d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.