Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 314.14 | $0.637 | $234.04 | +$33.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.25 | $0.710 | $30 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 284.8 |
| $0.646 |
| $209.33 |
| +$25.33 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 88.49 | $0.628 | $45.57 | -$10.03 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 35.29 | $0.850 | $34.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 32.43 | $0.925 | $31.78 | +$1.78 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.560 | $27.86 | +$7.86 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 25.61 | $0.781 | $20.17 | +$0.17 |
| sell |
| 18.51 |
| $0.490 |
| $9.07 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.922 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.060 | $3.53 | 11d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.04 | $0.031 | $0.56 | 11d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | 11d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | 13d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | 14d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.65 | $0.939 | $10 | 15d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 15d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 25.61 | $0.781 | $20 | 15d ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.05 | $0.554 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 43.62 | $0.460 | $20.07 | 19d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.35 | $0.270 | $3.33 | 19d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 19d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | sell | 45.71 | $0.360 | $16.46 | 19d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.160 | $10.67 | 19d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | 19d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | 26d ago |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.999 | $13.87 | 28d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 26.62 | $0.751 | $20 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 54.38 | $0.181 | $9.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 12.28 | $0.785 | $9.64 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | buy | 45.71 | $0.350 | $16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 32.43 | $0.925 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50.31 | $0.795 | $40 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 24.69 | $0.860 | $21.23 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 44.21 | $0.430 | $19.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.99 | $0.741 | $20 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 11.07 | $0.744 | $8.24 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.51 | $0.856 | $9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 34.52 | $0.272 | $9.39 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.42 | $0.854 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.550 | $35.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |