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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.820 | $2.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.21 |
| $0.710 |
| $1.57 |
| Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.220 | $0.29 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 3.41 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.850 | $1.88 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.95 | $0.660 | $1.95 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.66 | $0.560 | $4.85 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 21?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Feb 20, 2026 |
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.859 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.293 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 21?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 13.4 | $0.100 | $1.34 | Feb 20, 2026 |