Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 13.8 | $0.961 | $13.26 | 11d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 199.99 |
| $0.927 |
| $185.39 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 61.2 | $0.938 | $57.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 75 | $0.936 | $70.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.936 | $140.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.992 | $117.06 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 19?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.999 | $10.99 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 9?No | buy | 506.74 | $0.999 | $506.23 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | buy | 660 | $0.997 | $658.02 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.82 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.004 | $0.82 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 19?Yes | buy | 9.61K | $0.999 | $9.6K | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 19?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.999 | $2.6K | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 16?Yes | buy | 419.65 | $0.999 | $419.23 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 16?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 4.35K | $0.986 | $4.29K | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 9.49 | $0.987 | $9.37 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.987 | $996.37 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.987 | $4.94K | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 706.66 | $0.991 | $700.3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.999 | $666 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 551.64 | $0.980 | $540.61 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 650 | $0.028 | $18.2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 558.8 | $0.999 | $558.24 | Jan 30, 2026 |