Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.09 |
| $0.970 |
| $3 |
| May 18, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.940 | $4.02 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsEternal Fire | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsInner Circle Esports | buy | 4.28 | $0.930 | $3.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsG2 | buy | 6.12 | $0.810 | $4.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.921 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.945 | $6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 4.45 | $0.898 | $4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.960 | $3.36 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.982 | $6 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Tonight Show on December 8?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.820 | $5.99 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.969 | $11 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.968 | $6 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.142 | $14.63 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before September?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.954 | $1.97 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on August 26?No | sell | 2 | $0.986 | $1.97 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.998 | $1.79K | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.34K | $0.996 | $2.33K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on August 25?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.986 | $4 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 691.38 | $0.997 | $689.31 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $999 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.79K | $0.999 | $1.79K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on August 26?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 691.38 | $0.998 | $690 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.997 | $2.33K | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.968 | $8 | Aug 25, 2025 |