Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 311 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 17 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 17.5% on 17 Aug 2025. $96.45K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Outrageous-Paste | Yes | 1.65K |
| bogdanc1 | Yes | 1.03K |
| betujeme | Yes | 921.56 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration officially announces that they will be sending US troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between the United States and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcement which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-agrees-to-send-us-peacekeeping-force-to-ukraine
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 546 |
| EkoCam | Yes | 340 |
| Aggravating-Afoul | Yes | 329.07 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 324 |
| alrightthatsdecent | Yes | 298.61 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 181 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 167 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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