
Resolved No on 30 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 49% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 30 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 12% on 30 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 20% on 25 Mar 2026. $89.74K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 30 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Immense-Mattress | Yes | 9.9K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.37K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.06K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.96K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, March 30, 2026 between Germany and Ghana.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-ger-gha-2026-03-30
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