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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 39.49 | $0.886 | $36.92 | +$1.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.094 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 179.56 |
| $0.251 |
| $32.32 |
| -$12.68 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 105.83 | $0.189 | $25.66 | +$5.66 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $19.89 | -$0.11 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 16.5 | $0.909 | $16.05 | +$1.05 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 76.79 | $0.260 | $11.02 | -$8.98 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 115.49 | $0.173 | $8.49 | -$11.51 |
| buy |
| 3.33K |
| $0.003 |
| $10 |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 40.16 | $0.249 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.48 | $0.187 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.162 | $10 | May 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.940 | $13.42 | May 20, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.909 | $15 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.630 | $12.11 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.72 | $0.184 | $15 | May 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.810 | $13.96 | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 52.36 | $0.191 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.186 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 36.63 | $0.273 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.84 | $0.307 | $30 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes | buy | 428.02 | $0.023 | $10 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.940 | $11.75 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 12.1 | $0.827 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 16.78 | $0.596 | $10 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?Yes | buy | 10.58 | $0.472 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win by 150 or more seats?Yes | buy | 50.82 | $0.098 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win by 125–149 seats?Yes | buy | 35.25 | $0.142 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.003 | $3.75 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |