Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 13.51 | $0.740 | $12.84 | +$2.84 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.057 | $0.77 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.66 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.12 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.067 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.003 | $0.02 | May 30, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.32 | $0.530 | $6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | May 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.860 | $1.06 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.39 | $0.782 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | buy | 94.74 | $0.053 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETUp | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 12.74 | $0.999 | $12.73 | May 11, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.940 | $11.46 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.028 | $0.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | sell | 8.04 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes | sell | 10.28 | $0.487 | $5.01 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.942 | $5.43 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 62.71 | $0.159 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.868 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 2.32 | $0.431 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |