Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 202.43 | $0.988 | $201.52 | +$1.52 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 189.19 | $0.370 | $70 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 581.5 |
| $0.464 |
| $125.02 |
| -$144.98 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 138.46 | $0.260 | $31.15 | -$4.85 |
| buy |
| 192.31 |
| $0.520 |
| $100 |
| 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | 7d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 29.07 | $0.860 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 138.46 | $0.260 | $36 | 22d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 202.43 | $0.988 | $200 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | buy | 109.39 | $0.914 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | sell | 45.76 | $0.540 | $24.71 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp | buy | 45.76 | $0.546 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | sell | 151.51 | $0.907 | $137.48 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.78 | $0.450 | $161 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.44K | $0.190 | $273.36 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.190 | $273.26 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 801.67 | $0.341 | $273.26 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 801.68 | $0.370 | $296.62 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.260 | $296.61 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.437 | $498.06 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.590 | $590.16 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 275.67 | $0.420 | $115.78 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 275.68 | $0.370 | $102 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 612.07 | $0.290 | $177.5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 612.07 | $0.720 | $440.69 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 440.68 | $0.949 | $418.21 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 653.46 | $0.640 | $418.21 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 653.46 | $0.690 | $450.89 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 444.44 | $0.950 | $422.22 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.900 | $400 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 427.69 | $0.980 | $419.14 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 427.7 | $0.982 | $420 | Oct 27, 2025 |