Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6.64 | +$0.64 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Jun 27, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 9.04 |
| $0.553 |
| $1.18 |
| -$3.82 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 5.6 | $0.893 | $0.92 | -$4.08 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? | Yes | 9.38 | $0.320 | $0.8 | -$2.2 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $0.3 | -$1.7 |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | Yes | 7.34 | $0.136 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.330 |
| $3.3 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | sell | 164.73 | $0.870 | $143.32 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.780 | $6.24 | May 28, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | May 27, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | sell | 38.69 | $0.814 | $31.48 | May 27, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | sell | 43.76 | $0.702 | $30.71 | May 25, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 17.46 | $0.620 | $10.83 | May 24, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | May 24, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | May 24, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 39.99 | $0.580 | $23.19 | May 21, 2026 |
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?Up | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | May 15, 2026 |
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 15?Up | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | May 15, 2026 |
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?Down | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | May 14, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | May 13, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?Up | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.016 | $1.76 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | May 5, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.060 | $2.7 | May 5, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | May 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | sell | 294.6 | $0.996 | $293.42 | May 1, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.666 | $7.96 | Apr 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | buy | 11.94 | $0.668 | $7.98 | Apr 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Apr 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Apr 24, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 69.51 | $0.163 | $11.36 | Apr 18, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 69.51 | $0.200 | $13.9 | Apr 18, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.293 | $3 | Apr 14, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 33.16 | $0.302 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Apr 9, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.530 | $58.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.650 | $6.49 | Apr 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.631 | $56.76 | Apr 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.640 | $102.4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | Apr 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.800 | $68 | Apr 2, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | sell | 5.99 | $0.580 | $3.47 | Mar 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $66.99 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.650 | $3.9 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.650 | $5.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by April 30?Yes | buy | 0.6 | $0.590 | $0.35 | Mar 29, 2026 |