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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 66.68 | $0.150 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | 6d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 125 |
| $0.080 |
| $8.13 |
| -$1.88 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | Yes | 135.14 | $0.037 | $0.2 | -$4.8 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.080 |
| $10 |
| 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.034 | $1.63 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.031 | $1.82 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 9.43 | $0.420 | $3.96 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 31.57 | $0.130 | $4.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 778.57 | $0.019 | $14.79 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 64.52 | $0.208 | $13.41 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.58 | $0.190 | $6 | May 25, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 778.57 | $0.007 | $5.45 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?No | buy | 21.3 | $0.235 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 64.53 | $0.077 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 63.64 | $0.110 | $7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 77.31 | $0.065 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETDown | buy | 7.72 | $0.630 | $4.86 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 19.41 | $0.499 | $9.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 13.28 | $0.739 | $9.81 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.033 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 52.18 | $0.189 | $9.88 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |