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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 12.61 | $0.999 | $12.58 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.61 | $0.999 | $12.6 | 3d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 12.63 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.62 |
| 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.997 | $12.6 | 18d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.61 | $0.999 | $12.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12?Yes | buy | 102.6 | $0.999 | $102.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.999 | $102.4 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 102.4 | $0.999 | $102.3 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 102.3 | $0.999 | $102.2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 102.1 | $0.999 | $102 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 102.1 | $0.999 | $102 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 26?No | buy | 101.98 | $0.999 | $101.87 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 101.88 | $0.999 | $101.78 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 15?Yes | buy | 51.74 | $0.999 | $51.69 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $49.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 6?No | buy | 101.69 | $0.999 | $101.58 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 101.6 | $0.999 | $101.5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?Yes | buy | 101.5 | $0.999 | $101.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 101.4 | $0.999 | $101.3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 98.49 | $0.999 | $98.39 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 98.39 | $0.999 | $98.29 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 98.29 | $0.998 | $98.09 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 98.09 | $0.999 | $97.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 98 | $0.999 | $97.9 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 97.9 | $0.999 | $97.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 97.1 | $0.999 | $97 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 68.07 | $0.999 | $68 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.995 | $1.21 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.999 | $1.31 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.998 | $1.36 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 28?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.997 | $1.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $490b and $500b on December 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 21?No | buy | 695 | $0.002 | $1.39 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?No | buy | 90.05 | $0.999 | $89.96 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 10?No | buy | 80.08 | $0.999 | $80 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.999 | $1.47 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in December?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.975 | $1.34 | Dec 9, 2025 |