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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 334.37 | $0.780 | $125.39 | -$135.42 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 321.25 | $0.920 | $295.55 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 188.19 |
| $0.694 |
| $130.61 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 658 | $0.800 | $526.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 284.53 | $0.879 | $250 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 291.38 | $0.858 | $250 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.700 | $560 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.670 | $804 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 705.72 | $0.310 | $218.77 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.018 | $3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.105 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 93.29 | $0.984 | $91.8 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?No | sell | 215.86 | $0.994 | $214.56 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?No | buy | 215.86 | $0.996 | $215 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 195–209 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 87.09 | $0.999 | $87 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 78.23 | $0.997 | $78 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.999 | $74 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | buy | 147.15 | $0.999 | $147 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| XRP above $2.10 on June 20?Yes | buy | 210.21 | $0.999 | $210 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.999 | $54 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No | buy | 47.33 | $0.993 | $47 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 119.12 | $0.999 | $119 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 34.03 | $0.998 | $33.96 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.997 | $6.99 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 99.49 | $0.998 | $99.29 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 99.5 | $0.995 | $99 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 34.03 | $0.999 | $34 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 205.85 | $0.991 | $204 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 65.39 | $0.994 | $65 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?Yes | buy | 22.07 | $0.997 | $22 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 45 | $0.992 | $44.64 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 96 | $0.996 | $95.62 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 123 | $0.995 | $122.39 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 96 | $0.997 | $95.71 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 123 | $0.996 | $122.51 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 45 | $0.995 | $44.78 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 32.12 | $0.993 | $31.9 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 42.16 | $0.994 | $41.91 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 72.21 | $0.996 | $71.92 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 72.22 | $0.997 | $72 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 32.13 | $0.996 | $32 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 42.17 | $0.996 | $42 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 31.16 | $0.991 | $30.88 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 115.11 | $0.998 | $114.88 | Nov 6, 2024 |