Latest trade
Jul 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 3:50 PM UTC.
pony-shrug has made $209.21 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 3:50 PM UTC.
$27.14 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 27 markets; 68.6% were buys. They run from Mar 19, 2026 UTC to Jul 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
80.3% from three wins
Its three largest wins made up this share of all gains across 34 settled positions.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 12:49 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 15:50 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-14 15:11 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $233.89 and losing ones cost $24.68 across 34 settled positions. 70.6% of them closed in profit. The three largest wins account for 80.3% of all gains.
The largest win was $94.17 on “Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 19?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.9 on “Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?” (Yes).
It first traded on 19 Mar 2026 and most recently on 24 Jul 2026, 84 days ago. It has traded 32 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 18 |
| $0.920 |
| $16.56 |
| Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?No | buy | 21 | $0.920 | $19.32 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under | buy | 15 | $0.910 | $13.65 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07?No | buy | 16 | $0.960 | $15.36 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.960 | $14.4 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| FK Kolos Kovalivka leading at halftime?No | buy | 12 | $0.930 | $11.16 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ABIG | buy | 13 | $0.900 | $11.7 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks | sell | 20.96 | $0.999 | $20.94 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.065 | $0.98 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 794 | $0.072 | $57.17 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.904 | $1.08K | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 590 | $0.024 | $14.16 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.904 | $1.02K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 915 | $0.052 | $47.58 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.932 | $1.04K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 736 | $0.061 | $44.9 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.938 | $988.65 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.75 | $0.049 | $0.48 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 581 | $0.050 | $29.05 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.950 | $1.08K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 663 | $0.057 | $37.79 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 766 | $0.914 | $700.12 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.050 | $50.6 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.044 | $20.24 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.059 | $27.14 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No | sell | 511 | $0.936 | $478.3 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.934 | $1.06K | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.041 | $62.61 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes | buy | 1.69K | $0.074 | $125.21 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over | buy | 146 | $0.420 | $61.32 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks | buy | 20.94 | $0.910 | $19.06 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-19?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.