Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 46 points from 48% when the market opened on 18 Feb 2026.
Across the 230 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 18 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.7%; a month before, 3.1%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 7.5% on 19 Feb 2026.
Seattle Sounders FC ranks 14th of the 28 outcomes in “MLS Cup Winner 2026”. Nashville SC leads at 20.2%; Inter Miami CF is at 16.5%.
$900 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $874.3K since listing. The order book holds $17.51K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $73.64 bought Yes and $6.97K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 3d0 with 10.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 32.5K. Ten wallets hold 86.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 230 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 48.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 32.47K |
| 3d0 | Yes | 10.08K |
| Gucky-45 | Yes | 2.96K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-cup-winner-2026
15 more outcomes, none above 2.3%.
| Serpentine-Dialogue |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| TradingWave | Yes | 1.94K |
| 0x53eCc53E7 | Yes | 1.61K |
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 1.56K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 1.53K |
| purplegatto | Yes | 1.47K |
| Hjklm | Yes | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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