Analytics
Yes is at 5%, about where the market opened on 20 Feb 2026.
The high was 9.7% on 20 Jul 2026 and the low 0.3% on 18 Mar 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5%; a month ago, 7%.
Chicago Fire FC ranks eighth of the 30 outcomes in “MLS Cup Winner 2026”. Vancouver Whitecaps FC leads at 22.4%; Nashville SC is at 16.3%.
$255.45K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $18.08K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $435.69 bought Yes and $4.71K bought No.
The largest Yes position is saintaphextwin with 107.6K shares; the largest No position is mooseborzoi with 99.5K. Ten wallets hold 98.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 86 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 209 points · 20 Feb 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 5.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| saintaphextwin | Yes | 107.56K |
| mooseborzoi | No | 99.52K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 29.2K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-cup-winner-2026
18 more outcomes, none above 1.8%.
| 0x53eCc53E7 | Yes | 8.4K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 4.15K |
| Serpentine-Dialogue | Yes | 2K |
| Hjklm | Yes | 1.59K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 1.24K |
| purplegatto | Yes | 1.01K |
| Dorokking | Yes | 780.36 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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