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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 124.76 | $0.999 | $124.64 | Feb 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 124.64 |
| $0.999 |
| $124.52 |
| Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 124.51 | $0.999 | $124.39 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 121.37 | $0.998 | $121.13 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 121.09 | $0.991 | $120 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 120.12 | $0.999 | $120 | Jan 21, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.980 | $1.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 120.24 | $0.998 | $120 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 122.24 | $0.998 | $122 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.968 | $118 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 117.78 | $0.968 | $114 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | sell | 122.33 | $0.937 | $114.62 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 122.34 | $0.988 | $120.87 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 120.88 | $0.979 | $118.34 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 118.34 | $0.988 | $116.92 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?No | buy | 115.35 | $0.997 | $115 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 115.12 | $0.999 | $115 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 116.46 | $0.999 | $116.34 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 116.34 | $0.940 | $109.36 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 27?Yes | buy | 107.71 | $0.999 | $107.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 107.6 | $0.960 | $103.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 103.3 | $0.985 | $101.78 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?Yes | buy | 525 | $0.004 | $2.1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 12?No | buy | 102.26 | $0.999 | $102.16 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by November 30?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.790 | $1.3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.880 | $1.4 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.370 | $1.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 101.25 | $0.999 | $101.15 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 101.15 | $0.998 | $100.95 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 10.73 | $0.559 | $6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on October 15?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.987 | $1.2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 94.95 | $0.990 | $94 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 101.06 | $0.940 | $95 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |