Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 3 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 9.5% on 30 Aug 2025. $100.31K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 30 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 7.5% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 84.79K |
| Mindless-Period | Yes | 11.87K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 6.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2nd-largest-company-end-of-september
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 4.05K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 1.45K |
| Javathecreator | Yes | 1.11K |
| shine | Yes | 534.96 |
| Circular-Tub | Yes | 500 |
| Jian20 | Yes | 500 |
| Babodriver96 | Yes | 363.49 |
