Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.013 | $0.05 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 32 |
| $0.910 |
| $29.12 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.920 | $44.16 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.810 | $44.55 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.810 | $44.55 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.170 | $15.81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.170 | $15.81 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.037 | $1.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.037 | $1.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.231 | $20.56 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.290 | $1.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.480 | $17.28 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.776 | $42.68 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.031 | $0.56 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.290 | $17.11 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.918 | $38.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 48 | $0.880 | $42.24 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.862 | $41.38 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | sell | 53 | $0.026 | $1.38 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | buy | 53 | $0.303 | $16.06 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 16 | $0.986 | $15.78 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.985 | $15.76 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.969 | $15.5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.962 | $15.39 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 17 | $0.936 | $15.91 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.983 | $15.73 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.798 | $15.96 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.056 | $2.35 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 13 | $0.989 | $12.86 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.983 | $12.78 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.046 | $1.7 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.986 | $14.79 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | sell | 15 | $0.954 | $14.31 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?No | sell | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 14 | $0.981 | $13.73 | May 13, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.985 | $0.55 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.959 | $15.34 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | sell | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | buy | 15 | $0.968 | $14.52 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 17 | $0.895 | $15.22 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 17 | $0.895 | $15.22 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 16 | $0.910 | $14.56 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 16 | $0.914 | $14.62 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?No | sell | 16 | $0.967 | $15.47 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.983 | $1.93 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.107 | $1.82 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.988 | $13.83 | Apr 4, 2025 |