Latest trade
Jul 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:32 PM UTC.
Analytics
tsukuyomi. is down $99.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:32 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 47 trades covered 25 markets; 66.0% were buys. They run from Jan 10, 2026 UTC to Jul 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 7.52 | $0.310 | $2.33 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-12 15:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 15:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
47 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 15:32 UTC
polymarket positions
22 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-12 15:25 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $13.3 and losing ones cost $40.05 across 20 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.8 on “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $27.28 on “Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Jul 2026. It has traded 25 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 397.46 |
| $0.007 |
| $2.78 |
| Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02K | $0.007 | $42.15 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.007 | $2.8 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 69.13 | $0.740 | $51.16 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 69.13 | $0.780 | $53.92 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 68.25 | $0.790 | $53.92 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 68.26 | $0.780 | $53.24 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 53.46 | $0.996 | $53.25 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 53.46 | $0.991 | $52.98 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 53.14 | $0.997 | $52.98 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 53.14 | $0.869 | $46.18 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.55 | $0.992 | $46.18 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.56 | $0.984 | $45.81 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 45.81 | $0.999 | $45.76 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | sell | 46.46 | $0.985 | $45.76 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 46.46 | $0.984 | $45.72 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | sell | 46.94 | $0.974 | $45.72 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 46.95 | $0.973 | $45.68 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.982 | $45.67 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 46.52 | $0.976 | $45.4 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.180 | $0.58 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.31 | $0.859 | $1.99 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | sell | 2.42 | $0.890 | $2.15 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.41 | $0.820 | $1.98 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | sell | 2.37 | $0.990 | $2.35 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 2.36 | $0.840 | $1.98 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.309 | $0.76 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.35 | $0.302 | $1.01 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.298 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.406 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
 Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.490 | $9.82 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 0.35 | $0.490 | $0.17 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 22.72 | $0.880 | $19.99 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 65.71 | $0.968 | $63.62 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | sell | 54.36 | $0.050 | $2.72 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 54.37 | $0.552 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | sell | 473.99 | $0.044 | $20.96 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?No | buy | 473.99 | $0.063 | $30 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 105 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.