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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 8 | $0.680 | $7.56 | +$2.12 |
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
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| No |
| 6 |
| $0.920 |
| $5.85 |
| +$0.33 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 9 | $0.600 | $4.19 | -$1.22 |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.130 | $2.55 | -$1.35 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 15.9 | $0.310 | $1.99 | -$2.94 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.640 | $0.65 | -$5.75 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.630 | $0.26 | -$0.41 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13 | $0.489 | $0.06 | -$6.3 |
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.680 |
| $5.44 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.9 | $0.310 | $4.93 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.630 | $0.67 | May 13, 2026 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.600 | $5.4 | May 6, 2026 |
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.920 | $5.52 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.489 | $6.36 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.660 | $5.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.880 | $5.28 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.880 | $5.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.770 | $4.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will SOFR hit 3.72% (High) between April 1 and April 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |