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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 23.09 | $0.996 | $22.99 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23.09 | $0.996 | $23 | 12h ago |
 |
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.420 |
| $2 |
| 12h ago |
 Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 25.35 | $0.980 | $24.84 | 12h ago |
| Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 25.36 | $0.986 | $25 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 11.66 | $0.889 | $10.36 | 1d ago |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 15.09 | $0.995 | $15.01 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.900 | $10.5 | 6d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.994 | $15 | 6d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.992 | $10.12 | 6d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.970 | $9.9 | 19d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 15.52 | $0.966 | $15 | 19d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 67.35 | $0.377 | $25.39 | 19d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 67.35 | $0.378 | $25.46 | 20d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 25.96 | $0.998 | $25.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | sell | 11.11 | $0.520 | $5.78 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.360 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 25.49 | $0.961 | $24.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 25.49 | $0.965 | $24.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 9.14 | $0.498 | $4.55 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 20.06 | $0.996 | $19.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.962 | $8.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 14.11 | $0.911 | $12.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 16.68 | $0.952 | $15.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No | buy | 16.68 | $0.959 | $16 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.921 | $13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 9.59 | $0.992 | $9.51 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 20.28 | $0.984 | $19.96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 9.6 | $0.990 | $9.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | sell | 30.44 | $0.968 | $29.47 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 30.44 | $0.969 | $29.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 13.84 | $0.936 | $12.95 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.991 | $15.97 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.992 | $16 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 13.85 | $0.939 | $13 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 19.9 | $0.979 | $19.48 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 19.9 | $0.980 | $19.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 10.05 | $0.994 | $9.99 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.84 | $0.910 | $10.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.929 | $11 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 30.55 | $0.981 | $29.97 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 30.55 | $0.982 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | sell | 14.02 | $0.993 | $13.92 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 20.53 | $0.979 | $20.1 | Jun 26, 2026 |