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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.989 | $2.72 | Sep 23, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.3 |
| $0.960 |
| $1.25 |
| Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.966 | $3 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.996 | $1.06 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.46 | $0.987 | $1.44 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.965 | $2.7 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.963 | $3.2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.939 | $3.1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.995 | $3.6 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.028 | $11.2 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.019 | $1.93 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 401.2 | $0.996 | $399.6 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 911.76 | $0.017 | $15.5 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 401.2 | $0.997 | $400 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 406.67 | $0.959 | $390 | Mar 31, 2025 |