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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.360 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |