Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 234.95 | $0.484 | $116.89 | +$3.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 293.58 | $0.500 | $146.79 | Jul 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 307.1 |
| $0.500 |
| $153.55 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 58 | $0.477 | $27.66 | May 8, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 57.18 | $0.494 | $28.22 | May 8, 2026 |
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?No | sell | 1 | $0.278 | $0.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 222.52 | $0.500 | $111.26 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.472 | $31.15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 200.04 | $0.500 | $100.02 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ETUp | buy | 80.39 | $0.510 | $41 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 6AM ETUp | buy | 468.9 | $0.510 | $239.14 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12PM ETDown | buy | 124.84 | $0.510 | $63.67 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4AM ETUp | buy | 156.41 | $0.510 | $79.77 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp | buy | 139.82 | $0.510 | $71.31 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?No | buy | 150.11 | $0.910 | $136.6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 234.22 | $0.410 | $96.03 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ETUp | buy | 90.96 | $0.510 | $46.39 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ETDown | buy | 166.67 | $0.510 | $85 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.510 | $1.01 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6PM ETDown | buy | 1.18K | $0.526 | $618.4 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 152.13 | $0.514 | $78.24 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.3 | $0.995 | $8.26 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.997 | $8.28 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?Yes | sell | 10.34 | $0.994 | $10.28 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.997 | $10.31 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Lee Jae-myung?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.001 | $2.6 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.005 | $3.4 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Trump?No | sell | 10.81 | $0.960 | $10.38 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 10.82 | $0.965 | $10.44 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 4.32K | $0.001 | $4.32 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 15.51 | $0.952 | $14.77 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 15.52 | $0.953 | $14.79 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.48K | $0.001 | $5.48 | Oct 9, 2024 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Sep 9, 2024 |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 235.85 | $0.973 | $229.48 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 235.86 | $0.979 | $230.83 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Utah Governor Election?Yes | sell | 301.67 | $0.964 | $290.78 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Utah Governor Election?Yes | buy | 301.67 | $0.970 | $292.55 | Aug 11, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | sell | 215.27 | $0.970 | $208.81 | Aug 11, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | buy | 215.28 | $0.980 | $211 | Aug 11, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 229.33 | $0.979 | $224.51 | Aug 11, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 229.33 | $0.987 | $226.35 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | sell | 210.41 | $0.982 | $206.55 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?No | buy | 210.42 | $0.985 | $207.26 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 284.47 | $0.960 | $273.11 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 284.48 | $0.964 | $274.37 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 199.33 | $0.996 | $198.53 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 199.34 | $0.997 | $198.74 | Aug 11, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 207.41 | $0.967 | $200.54 | Aug 11, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 207.41 | $0.970 | $201.19 | Aug 11, 2024 |