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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 568 | $0.140 | $76.68 | -$2.84 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.044 | $2.11 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 36 |
| $0.850 |
| $30.78 |
| +$0.18 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 273 | $0.110 | $28.67 | -$1.37 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 65 | $0.470 | $27.63 | -$2.96 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 28 | $0.730 | $19.88 | -$0.56 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 44 | $0.226 | $14.52 | +$4.57 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 19 | $0.540 | $10.55 | +$0.29 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 77 | $0.138 | $9.63 | -$1.01 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 96 | $0.261 | $4.18 | -$20.92 |
| sell |
| 41 |
| $0.041 |
| $1.68 |
| 10h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.041 | $1.76 | 11h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | 16h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.035 | $1.3 | 16h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | 16h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.443 | $10.2 | 16h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.033 | $1.22 | 16h ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.110 | $10.01 | 16h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | 16h ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.110 | $10.01 | 16h ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.110 | $10.01 | 16h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.740 | $10.36 | 17h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 53 | $0.110 | $5.83 | 18h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 33 | $0.220 | $7.26 | 18h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.220 | $7.48 | 19h ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 12 | $0.780 | $9.36 | 20h ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | 22h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.450 | $9.9 | 22h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.040 | $1.48 | 22h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.524 | $10.48 | 22h ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 23h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.226 | $9.95 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.580 | $10.44 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.560 | $10.08 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.670 | $12.06 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.140 | $9.94 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.570 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.138 | $10.64 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.540 | $10.26 | 1d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.730 | $10.22 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.200 | $6.4 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.199 | $5.98 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.207 | $9.93 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.210 | $10.08 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.730 | $10.22 | 2d ago |